US stock markets continue to rally during the week, breaking fresh, new highs yet again. It is getting a bit parabolic, so the longer-term trader is going to have to be very cautious.
Dow Jones 30
Obviously, one cannot sell the Dow Jones 30 anytime soon. The market is extraordinarily bullish, but longer-term traders are going to struggle with the idea of buying at this high level, because a pullback could involve a 1500-point move. The 25,000 level should be rather supportive at this point, and quite frankly I think it would be healthy if we pull back to that level. I believe that the market will eventually continue even higher, but longer-term traders need to see some type of value before they start investing in this market.
NASDAQ 100
The NASDAQ 100 has exploded to the upside as well, clearing the 7000 level during late Friday trading. Because of this, I think it’s only a matter of time before we continue to go to the upside, but when I look at the Bollinger Bands, we are starting to get into the overbought area, and the stochastic oscillator has been pegged in the overbought condition for what seems to be ages. I think that pullbacks are necessary, but those are buying opportunities. The 6750-level underneath is the “floor” in the short-term uptrend, while the 6500 level is even more supportive for the longer-term move. I like buying dips, they represent value, but at this point it would be very difficult to go long of this market because of the significant pullback that will need to be had at one point or another.
MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!
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