Wednesday 14 March 2018

Looking for multibaggers? Nearly 30 stocks turned smallcaps from midcaps in 2018

Most of the stocks might have technically moved to a midcap category or a smallcap but they still remain to be part of respective indices. Many stocks which gave multibagger returns in the year 2017 have corrected in double digits so far in the year 2018, and any drop could be used as a good buying opportunity.

The year 2017 was full of surprise as Indian market climbed all wall of worries to hit fresh record highs and the momentum continued till the first month of the year 2018, but then momentum fizzled out which led to a 10 percent kind of fall in benchmark indices from record highs.
The S&P BSE Sensex climbed Mount 36K while Nifty rose above 11,100 in the month of January but market lost momentum soon after the Budget was announced and global cues turned unfavorable.
Well, 2018 has been the year of a disappointment so far. Why do we say that? Because, data suggest that stocks in the Ultra largecap category, largecap, midcap and even smallcap in terms of market capitalization came down in the year 2018 as compared to the year 2017.
However, stocks in microcap category increased in the year 2018 which suggests that plenty of stocks witnessed huge correction which brought their market cap below Rs 1000 crore.
Most of the stocks might have technically moved to a midcap category or a smallcap but they still remain to be part of respective indices. Many stocks which gave multibagger returns in the year 2017 have corrected in double digits so far in the year 2018, and any drop could be used as a good buying opportunity.
Most of the stocks largely saw a correction which was more technical in nature while the fundamental aspect of some of these stocks still remain intact, suggest experts.
Shankar Sharma of First Global in an interview with CNBC-TV18 said that whenever markets correct, investors should use these dips and pick smallcap stocks which are displaying earnings growth potential.
The very reason Sharma likes smallcaps because they don’t get impacted by the worsening macro story (rise in interest rates or inflation).
However, most experts feel that smallcap theme, in general, might not be able to outperform in 2018 (select smallcaps could outperform) compared to largecaps which might hog the limelight. This is evident from data which shows less volatility in largecaps space compared to mid or smallcaps.
From the Ultra Largecap category in which the market capitalization is more than Rs100,000 crore as many as 3 stocks lost the tag of ultra largecaps which include names like Bajaj Finance, BPCL, and Tata Motors.
On the other hand only one stock, i.e. IndusInd Bank entered the Ultra Largecap space with a market capitalization of over Rs 100,000 crore in the year 2018.
 
In the largecap space which has a market capitalisation in the range of Rs 20,000 to Rs 100,000 crore, as many as 10 stocks lost the tag of largecaps in the year 2018 which include names like Bank of India, Canara Bank, Godrej Industries, MOSL, NBCC, PNB Housing Finance, RBL Bank etc. among others.
Technically, 4 stocks entered or reclaimed their tag in the largecap space which includes names like Castrol India, Gruh Finance, Jindal Steel & Power, and L&T Infotech.
  
After a blockbuster rally in the year 2017 in which midcaps took the lead, most analysts’ prefer largecaps in the year 2018 to lead the rally.
The valuations have come off from the recent highs which makes largecaps a preferred play. Mid-caps after witnessing correction are still trading at higher valuations than large caps so we do not rule out further correction if earnings falter in the coming quarters.
In the midcap space, nearly 30 stocks technically slipped from the midcap category so far in the year 2018 which include names like Allahabad Bank, Allcargo, BEML, DCB Bank, MMTC, Jaiprakash Associates, PNC Infratech, Rallis India, Equitas Holdings, Godfrey Phillips etc. among others.
MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!



Volatility to remain in March expiry; top 5 stocks which can give up to 15% return

Buying optimism intact in quality names at lower levels; however, buying in momentum is advised to be avoided as market is braced for a time correction post the corrective rally in prices so that valuations gets attractive.

   

The Nifty 50 manages to close in green and above its 100-EMA (10404) while Sensex ended in red after a volatile trading session on Tuesday.
The markets witnessed a strong up move led by sharp short-covering on Monday but on Tuesday the key indices fell sharply from day’s highs indicating consolidation/range-bound phase with intraday volatility to continue in near term.
So, far the Nifty has respected its 200-DMA (around 10,145 levels), which will continue to act as a major support while Resistance is seen around 10,600-10,650 levels.
Positive macro cues like robust Factory Output, lower retail Inflation, and Good Direct Tax collection numbers will keep the buying optimism intact in quality names at lower levels; however, buying in momentum is advised to be avoided as market is braced for a time correction post the corrective rally in prices (Nifty down almost 9-10 percent from peak) so that valuations gets attractive.
On the options front, maximum Put open interest of 48.84 lakh contracts stood at strike price 10,000 followed by 10,400, which now holds 45.69 lakh contracts.
While Maximum Call open interest of 48.52 lakh contracts is seen at strike price 10,500, followed by 10,700, which now holds 40.66 lakh contracts.
As per the option data, the Nifty is likely to remain in a narrow range for the next few trading sessions with immediate support stands around 10,400 levels whereas 10,500 will act as a minor hurdle and above that 10700 will be a major resistance in the March expiry.
India VIX marginally fell 0.2 percent at 14.46; however, it is still trading above the crucial mark of 13.00 which indicates mild volatility to remain in this expiry.
Here is a list of top five trading ideas by experts which can give up nearly 15% return in the short term:
Indian Bank: Buy | Target: Rs 336| Stop loss: Rs 269| Return potential: 14.7%
The stock has bounced back from lows after prices filled the gap, which was made on October 25, 2017 and around Rs 270 levels.
Positive divergence is seen in Relative Strength Index (RSI) along with positive crossover in stochastic means that the stock has made a temporary bottom and is set for a decent bounce back.
Investors can accumulate the stock in the range of Rs 287-294 for the upside target of Rs 336 and a stop loss below Rs 269 on a closing basis.
Titan Company Ltd: Buy | Target: Rs 914 | Stop loss: Rs 815 | Return 7.3%
The stock has given a consolidation breakout above Rs 840 levels with higher volume on the daily scale. The Relative strength index (RSI) and MACD have given positive crossover and are in Buy mode. Traders can buy the stock at current level and add on dips around Rs 840-842 with a stop loss below Rs 815 for the target of Rs 914.
Hexaware Technologies Limited: Buy | Target: Rs 423 | Stop loss: Rs 360 | Return: 10.2%
On the daily scale, the stock has given a breakout on Monday from a symmetrical triangle pattern above Rs 366-367 levels.
The Daily MACD has continued to remain in buy mode and Relative strength index (RSI) is showing upward momentum. OBV—On Balance Volume is making a fresh high from the previous top and this indicates that price may move towards a new high in coming days.
Investors can accumulate the stock in a range of Rs 378-384 with a stop loss below Rs 360 (closing) for target of Rs 423.
NBCC (India) Limited: Buy | Target: Rs 223 | Stop loss: Rs 181 | Return: 13.8%
After correcting significantly from its recent peak, the stock has made a Hammer-like candle on Monday around support zones followed by a strong up move on Tuesday with higher volume.
The positive divergence is seen in Relative Strength Index (RSI) and MACD has given positive crossover. One can buy the stock at current level and also add on dips to Rs 190 levels with the stop loss below Rs 181 (close) for target of Rs 223.
Pidilite Industries Ltd: Buy | Target: Rs 956 | Stop loss: Rs 870 | Return: 6.22%
The stock has given a breakout from symmetrical triangle pattern above Rs 896 levels with the moderate volume on the daily scale. The Daily Relative strength index showing upward momentum and MACD is making attempt to cross its signal line.
OBV—On Balance Volume is making a fresh high from the previous top and this indicates that price may move towards a new high. Traders can buy the stock in the range of Rs 895-900 with a stop loss below Rs 870 (close) for target of Rs 956.
MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!