Wednesday 21 February 2018

Stocks in the news: Union Bank, Bank Of India, Reliance Industries, Max India, Bank of Baroda, Dilip Buildcon

Union Bank | Bank Of India | Reliance Industries | Max India | Fortis | Weizmann Forex | HDFC | Bank of Baroda | Bank of Maharashtra | PNB and Dilip Buildcon are stocks which are in news today.

   


Here are stocks that are in news today:
Cabinet approves creation of National Urban Housing Fund for Rs 60,000 cr
Union Bank says that it classified Rotomac Global account as a non-performing asset in October 2016
Bank Of India
Gets shareholders' nod to issue fresh capital as tier-I/tier-II bonds for pref shrs for amount up to Rs 10,000 cr
Gets shareholders' nod to issue shares worth RS 6,975 cr to govt
Reliance Industries, Eros International PLC
Reliance invests in 5% stake of Eros for USD 48.75mn

To set up 1000cr corpus to produce content
Max India, Max Healthcare
Company’s equal JV, life healthcare group holdings ltd initiates preliminary discussions with company to explore possibility of acquisition of Life healthcare

shares in max healthcare institute limited by the company
Fortis
Promoter invokes pledged shareholding

Promoter holding falls from 8.85% to 5.87%
Weizmann Forex
Board had approved demerger of wind power biz in Oct 2017
Board has decided to pursue the demerger only post raising of funds through public issue/ private placement

Appointed date on 1st April 2018
HDFC disburses Rs28bn loans under Central scheme - BS
Liberty House submits bid for Bhushan Power - Livemint
Bank of Baroda says it has Rs 456cr exposure in Rotomac, account declared as NPA in Oct’2015 - ET
DGH may review plan to sell 60% stake in ONGC, Oil India fields - Livemint
Other stocks and sectors in the news
Bank of Maharashtra - ICRA revises ratings of various bonds
ICRA places rating on various bonds of PNB under watch with negative implications

Dilip Buildcon declared as L1 bidder for NHAI project worth Rs 380.07cr
MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!

Bull's Eye: Buy Titan, Coal India, Hexaware, ABB, Jain Irrigation, Exide; sell IRB Infra

  
Remember these are midcap ideas not just for the day, but stocks that look attractive in the medium-term as well.
Top picks and analysis:
Buy ABB with a stoploss at Rs 1470 and target of Rs 1570
Buy Godrej Consumer with a stoploss at Rs 1039 and target of Rs 1091
Buy Titan Company with a stoploss at Rs 815 and target of Rs 861
Sell IRB Infrastructure with a stoploss at Rs 227 and target of Rs 212
Buy Ashapura Intimate Fashion with a stoploss at Rs 456 and target of Rs 504
Buy Interglobe Aviation with a stoploss at Rs 1249 and target of Rs 1330
Buy Exide Industries with a stoploss at Rs 206.8 and target of Rs 218
Buy Coal India with a stoploss at Rs 299.8 and target of Rs 321
Buy Jain Irrigation Systems with a stoploss at Rs 115 and target of Rs 128
Buy Polaris Consulting & Services with a stoploss at Rs 455 and target of Rs 520
Buy Karnataka Bank with a stoploss at Rs 128 and target of Rs 145
Buy Hexaware Technologies with a stoploss at Rs 328 and target of Rs 360
MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!

Buy, Sell, Hold: PNB, Coal India among 4 stocks, 2 sectors in focus on February 21, 2018

PSU banks and IT stocks are also on investors’ radar on Wednesday.

  

Coal India
Brokerage: Macquarie | Rating: Outperform | Target: Rs 210
The global research firm said that the price-based auction would increase cost curve and benefit Coal India. Further, it believes there could be a record Q4 for this fiscal. The company should witness an all-time high EBITDA & should drive earnings upgrades, it said in report. Additionally, valuations at 6.7xEV/EBITDA FY20E makes risk-reward attractive.
Brokerage: Morgan Stanley
The global research firm said that from the company’s perspective, the key will be aggression in auction bids. Further, cost structure of these operations may be efficient relative to Coal India, it said, adding that still there could be a few years for mining to start.
Ambuja Cements
Brokerage: Credit Suisse | Rating: Underperform | Target: Raised to Rs 220
Credit Suisse said that it is cautious on the stock as demand trend is still weak. The stock is factoring in 3-yr upcycle whereas upcycle is yet to start, it said, adding that it has cut CY18 EPS estimate by 13% due to weak ASP.
Brokerage: Motilal Oswal | Rating: Neutral | Target: Rs 290
Motilal Oswal said that limited capacity addition could constrain volume growth. Further, volume is seen at CAGR of 5 percent over CY17-19. While it believes valuations appear expensive, it sees only 10 percent upside from current levels.
Brokerage: CLSA | Rating: Buy | Target: Rs 325
CLSA said that sharp sequential drop in unit costs is inexplicable and observed that some of the cost gains may not continue.
Punjab National Bank
Brokerage: Nomura
Nomura said that the alleged fraud highlights apparent flaws in PNB’s systems, controls, and audits. Further, the impact will not come only from write-offs, but also dilutions at low prices.
Hexaware
Brokerage: Credit Suisse | Rating: Neutral | Target: Raised to Rs 330
The global broking firm increased EPS estimates by 3-6% to account for Q4 results. Further, any potential stake sale by Baring could be an overhang, it said, adding that overall the company has good strategy execution, but have rich valuations.
IT
Brokerage: Nomura
Nomura said that over the last six years, tier-1 has not outperformed top end of Nasscom guidance. But it has retained its cautious stance on the sector and does not see material acceleration in growth in FY19.
Brokerage: Macquarie
Macquarie said that Nasscom’s FY19 guidance hints at marginal improvement. Further, it expects most large firms in India to grow at industry level in FY19. It expects headcount to remain lower than revenue growth rate.
PSU Banks
Brokerage: Nomura
The broking firm is positive on the sector and believes that worst of credit cycle is behind. Core PPOP performance for some banks will continue to improve. Having said that, nature of the alleged scam reduces our confidence level in PSU banks and recent developments may restrict a re-rating in the near-term. It expects operating performance of corporate banks to improve from H2CY18.
MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!

March series seeing short rollovers; 3 stocks which could give up to 17% return

Short rollover to March series could lead to further selling pressure and long unwinding in coming trading sessions.


Since the inception of February series continuously we have seen selling by foreign institutional investors (FIIs) at higher levels which clearly indicates short buildup and discomfort in the market.
The initial rollover data towards March series also indicates a short rollover. In the expiry week, we have seen aggressive call writing in 10400 and 10500 call strike which indicates that current expiry is likely to close below 10400 levels.
Moreover, short rollover to March series could lead to further selling pressure and long unwinding in coming trading sessions.
The overall data has turned negative and more weakness can be seen moving forward. On technical front, next support is placed around 10200- 10220 levels for the Nifty
Here is a list of top three stocks which could give up to 17% return:
IZMO: BUY| Target Rs 127| Stop Loss Rs 98| Return 17%
The stock is consistently moving up in a rising channel on daily and weekly interval along with supportive volumes on every dip. This week profit booking has been seen in the stock as prices have retraced back towards its short-term moving averages once again.
On a shorter time frame stock has formed double bottom around 99 levels and bounce thereon. Now any move above 108 levels will confirm the next upside in prices moving forward. So, traders can buy the stock above 108 levels for the target of 127 with a stop loss below 98.
HCL Infosystem Limited: BUY| Target Rs 71.50| Stop Loss Rs 55| Return 17%
The stock has formed a cup and handle formation on daily charts and given breakout above the pattern formation last week to test 69 levels. This week once again prices have retraced back towards its breakout levels near 61 and took support at its short-term moving average.
At the current juncture, the positive divergence on secondary indicators like stochastic and Rsi suggest for next up move in prices. So, traders can accumulate the stock in a range of 60-62 for the upside target of 71.50 with a stop loss below 55.
TVS Srichakra Limited: BUY| Target Rs 4200| Stop Loss Rs 3350| Return 15%
If we look at broader picture stock has been continuously trading down from 4300 levels and tested its 100 days exponential moving average on a weekly interval.
Thereon stock has formed a cup and handle formation on weekly charts and given fresh breakout above the pattern formation to once again hold above its short-term moving averages.
Traders can accumulate the stock in a range of 3750-3650 for the upside target of 4200 with a stop loss below 3350.
MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!

Top 4 stocks to buy in a volatile week which could give up to 11% return in short term

If Nifty see a close below 10350 in next few days then we may be going in for a deeper correction where price may see a downside move to 10100 - 9900.

  

The Nifty 50 ends down for the third consecutive day to close below 100-days SMA at 10,360. The Nifty has ended down for the third consecutive day which it hasn't done since the first week of January.
BankNifty also ended down to 24870 on the back of rising news of frauds in the domestic banking system that is surfacing since PNB scam was unearthed. The recent scam of Rotomac also added jitters to current developments.
Overall cues for the Indian equity markets remained negative on the back of sentiments that have developed in the last two weeks or so.
A complete underperformance by banking stocks and correction in some of the blue-chips also aided in the current correction. A rise in volatility from 13.5 to 17 levels validates the increasing range of market we may see going forward and directional traders.
The Nifty has closed below its 100-days moving average which is a bearish sign. In the next few days, we may see a trend that may be established since Nifty has respected the 100-days MA last two times it tested it and gave a follow up buying on the underlying trend, i.e. Bullish.
It will be critical to see if buying is returning to the market at lower levels to validate the internal strength. If we see a close below 10350 in next few days then we may be going in for a deeper correction where price may see a downside move to 10100 - 9900.
Though, momentum oscillators suggest an oversold market while it will be all line in the sand for Nifty at 10350 and a weekly close below or above it.
Top four stocks which could give up to 11% return in the short term:
Idea Cellular: BUY| Target Rs 93| Stop Loss Rs 80| Return 11%
The stock is trading in the oversold zone and is seeing a reversal in terms of the price structure. A double bottom formation at Rs81 odd levels coupled with a pullback in price seen in the last session suggests a short-term bullish structure that can take prices to Rs93. Investors can keep a trailing stop loss at Rs80
Coal India Ltd: BUY| Target Rs 330| Stop Loss Rs 295| Return 6%
It is one of the outperforming stocks in the oil and gas space which has been in a secular uptrend for the past few months. The recent consolidation seen at Rs290 - 310 levels makes it healthier for next move towards the projected target of 330.
The W pattern along with a flag breakout suggest its overall bullish nature. We suggest buying on dips for the upside target of Rs330 and a stop loss placed at Rs295.
NTPC: BUY| Target Rs 175| Stop Loss Rs 160| Return 7%
The stock is making a reversal pattern on the higher timeframe charts while a recent base building is seen in the stock on the daily chart with the consolidation of more than a week.
A reversal from the oversold zone can also be seen which can take prices higher in the short term with prices retracing to 175 - 177. We suggest placing a stop-loss placed at Rs160.
Infosys: BUY| Target Rs 1190| Stop Loss Rs 1110| Return 5%
The stock has breached its upward sloping trendline and ended its recent price correction from 1200 odd levels to 1100.
A retest of the point of polarity at previous breakout levels and a breakout from bullish continuation pattern suggest that it may see next round of bullish levels. We expect the technical target of the pattern at 1190 while stop loss can be placed at the recent bottom of 1110.
MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!

Mutual fund Vs Ulip: Does LTCG on equities and MF make Ulips a better investment bet?

Long-term capital gains were tax free in the hands of the investor before Budget 2018.

   

Long-term capital gains are the gains arising from the transfer of the long term capital asset and long term is considered as a holding period of more than one year from the date of purchase.
There is a lot of buzz regarding long-term capital gains post Union Budget 2018. The apparent reason is that the union budget 2018-19 introduced “Long Term Capital Gains (LTCG) tax” for selling equity or equity mutual fund (MF) units or units of a business trust.
Contrasting Facts on Long Term Capital Gains:
Long term capital gains were tax free in the hands of the investor before this Budget. LTCG tax was abolished in the year 2004 to promote long-term investments and accelerate the participation of investors in the equity markets. It was then replaced by security transaction tax (STT). Only short-term capital gains were taxed at 15%, and long-term capital gains were tax exempt in the hands of the investor.
Now, after Budget 2018, investors have to pay 10% tax on the long-term capital gains on the profit reaped exceeding Rs 1 lakh from the sale of shares or equity mutual fund schemes retained for more than a year from the date of acquisition. Long-term capital gains up to Rs 1 lakh is exempted from taxation still. Additionally, the indexation benefit will not be applicable while calculating taxes as it was before. In the current regime, long term capital gain (LTCG) tax and security transaction tax (STT) both coexist which makes India probably the only country to levy these twin taxes.
The long-term capital gains earned till 31 January 2018 will not attract the proposed LTCG tax. It is also known as "grandfathered clause". The new taxation rules will be applicable from 1st April 2018.
Example: If an investor bought equity shares worth Rs 2 Lakh on 1st Jan 2016 and sold the shares for Rs Rs 3.6 Lakhs on 15th Jan 2018 (before 31st Jan 2018). The long term capital gain in this scenario is Rs 1.6 Lakhs. The applicable LTCG tax of 10% as per the current proposal will be for the capital gain exceeding Rs 1 lakh which is Rs 60,000 (Rs 1,60,000-1,00,000). But this will be tax free. However, with effect from 1st April 2018, the long- term capital gains will be duly taxed as the new laws.
Investor’s Dilemma
This tectonic change in the LTCG tax structure has brought disappointment to the investors who possess an adequate risk appetite to invest in equity markets. Investment in equity has been looked upon as the best avenue for the wealth creation beating the inflationary impacts. The retail investors who were dependent on dividends as a source of income are unhappy with this stinging move by the government. Investors take a higher risk by investing in equities to gain potential rise in the investment value. Such gains (either from direct trading or through mutual fund schemes) would shrink with the implementation of LTCG tax. Coexistence of STT and LTCG tax is more aching for the investor.
It could lead investors to move away from investing directly in equities or through equity mutual fund schemes to earn potential returns. Investors must introspect their investment portfolio and relook at their investment strategy towards a wealth building investment option with no tax incidence on the earnings from equity.
ULIP emerges as a tax exempted Investment Instrument
Another opportunity for the investors who are looking for an avenue to get returns through equity linked mechanism is “Unit Linked insurance plans” (ULIPs). The unit linked insurance plan is a combination of life insurance plus investment. ULIPs offer multiple fund options which allow the investor to choose between debt, equity or a mix of both for the investment as per his/her risk appetite for wealth creation. Investment options under ULIPs are similar to mutual funds, and an investor doesn’t have to pay LTCG tax, unlike Mutual Fund.
The catch here is that the gains from investing in equity through a unit linked insurance plan is exempt from LTCG tax as per the current regime which is a substantial pull factor in favor of ULIPs. ULIP enrich the investors with a bundle of additional tax benefits. Maturity proceeds under ULIP are tax exempted under section 10 (10 D) of the Income Tax Act (if the premium during the term of the policy is less than 10% of the sum assured). Also, the premium paid for ULIP is tax exempted up to the limit of Rs 1.5 Lakh under section 80 C of the Income Tax Act.
With the regulator’s intervention in the year 2010, ULIPs have been made more customer friendly with some overhauling changes such as capping the overall charges, extending the lock-in period from 3 to 5 years, hike in minimum life cover, etc.
ULIP being an investment cum insurance plan offers financial security in case of eventualities to provide financial support to the family members of the deceased.With its switching and redirection features, it allows the investor to transfer their funds from one fund to another based on market volatility to ensure optimum performance of the invested amount. Partial withdrawals can also be done under ULIP in the times of need which are again free from tax. ULIPs allows investors to boost their investments through loyalty additions which are additional units allocated at specified years before maturity.
Since ULIPs have a lock-in period of five years, it encourages investors for a long term investment tenure, which will be fruitful to attain higher returns fulfilling their medium to long term financial objectives.
In a nutshell, with the introduction of LTCG tax on equities, ULIPs have emerged as more tax-efficient and wealth creating investment tool for the investors looking for potential gains from equity holdings.
MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!