The big support for the index is placed around 10,398 and a fall below could take the index towards 10,300-10,200 levels.
The Nifty50 breached key support levels in the past five trading session and closed by about 3 percent lower for the week ended February 9 signaling a pause in the momentum which we saw in the beginning of the year 2018.
Apart from domestic factors such as rising crude oil prices, high valuations, concerns over higher fiscal deficit as well as the imposition of long-term capital gains tax (LTCG) of 10 percent weighed on sentiment — the larger part of the decline can be attributed to global markets.
Investors are advised to stay light and avoid bottom fishing at current levels. The market has turned from buy on dips market to sell on rallies. Hence, any bounce back should be used to create short positions, suggest experts.
The big support for the index is placed around 10,398 and a fall below could take the index towards 10,300-10,200 levels.
As we all know, markets find its own reasons to correct and this time too, the global markets became the major culprits for drawing correction this time. With reference to previous articles, the short-term tide has now turned lower and looking at the ‘Bearish Engulfing’ pattern on the weekly chart; we do not expect any relief soon in the market.
At present, markets are undergoing much awaited (and required) correction. We reiterate that traders need to be very selective as the volatility is likely to remain on the higher side and also with such global issues; the opening direction is mainly dictated by the overnight cues from the global markets.
Chavan further added that one should avoid taking any kind of undue risks and should rather remain light on positions. In fact, it would be a prudent ploy to stay light and avoid making any kind of bottom fishing till the definite signals emerge.
Here is a list of top five stocks to buy in this week which could give up to 14% return:
MCX: BUY| Target Rs 825| Stop Loss Rs 670| Return 14%
This has been a wealth destroyer over the past one year and has now reached its multi-year support zone of 700. The relentless fall from 960 got arrested last week as the stock managed to recover from the new ’52-week low’ of 671.75 and then went on to form a ‘Morning Star’ pattern on daily chart.
This pattern has a bullish implication and indicates a short-term reversal. Thus, we expect a decent retracement of this recent severe correction. One can look to go long for a reasonable target of Rs.825. The stop loss should be fixed at Rs. 670.
Tata Chemicals: SELL| Target Rs662| Stop Loss Rs715| Return 5.4%
Recently, we saw a significant amount of correction in this stock from the high of Rs782. Last week, the stock prices managed to take some breather around ‘200-day SMA’ and eventually, recovered a bit from recent lows.
If we meticulously observe the daily chart, the corrective phase resulted into a breakdown from the multiple supports around 710 and hence, the relief rally during the week can be construed as a bounce back or just a relief rally.
Going by the ‘Change of Polarity’ rule, earlier support would now act as a strong hurdle and hence, we may see this stock facing some selling pressure around its current levels. We recommend selling this stock for a target of Rs.662 by following a strict stop loss at Rs.715.
BEML: BUY| Target Rs1400| Stop Loss Rs1180| Return 11.4%
The stock closed at Rs 1256.15 on 09th February 2018. It made a 52-week low at Rs 1125.15 on 25th May 2017 and a 52-week high of Rs. 1947 on 19th September 2017. The 200-days Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the stock on the daily chart is currently placed at Rs1520.79.
After registering an all-time high of Rs1947, the stock has beaten down sharply from its highs and tested Rs1150 levels, which was its earlier support zone.
Apart from this, 200-WEMA was also laying around Rs1140 levels. The stock witnessed a bounce back from the said level and formed a reversal candle on the weekly charts.
On the indicators front, RSI and MACD are showing the positive divergence for the stock to bounce back is expected from current levels. Therefore, one can buy in the range of Rs1235-1245 levels for the upside target of Rs1370-1400 levels with a stop loss below Rs 1180.
InterGlobe Aviation: BUY| Target Rs1400| Stop Loss Rs1200| Return 11.2%
The stock closed at Rs1258.65 on 09th February 2018. It made a 52-week low at Rs815 on 14th February 2017 and a 52-week high of Rs1346.70 on 16th August 2017.
The 200-days Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the stock on the daily chart is currently at Rs1153.45. As we can see on charts that stock is continuously trading in the wide range of 1050-1320 from August 2017 and has been forming a “Symmetrical Triangle” on weekly charts, which is bullish in nature.
Last week, the stock gave the pattern breakout but couldn’t hold the high levels due to correction in broader indices.
Overall, bias is still looking positive for the stock as there is a rise in the volumes which shows the strength for the stock.
Therefore, one can buy in the range of Rs1240-1250 levels for the upside target of Rs1370-1400 levels with a stop loss below Rs1200.
Steel Authority of India (SAIL): BUY | Target Rs.104 | Stop-loss Rs85 | Return 11%
Last week SAIL registered an uptrend breakout from its short-term moving average level placed at 86, after consolidating from 52-weeks high level seen on 8th of last month. It decisively managed to rebound from 81 level abetted by volume growth throughout the week and settled at just 7 points below its 52-week high.
With price trading above all the crucial moving average level, it formed a solid candlestick pattern on the weekly price chart, attempting to breakthrough its higher band.
The weekly secondary momentum indicator suggests a positive breakout with RSI level at 61 coupled with MACD witnessing a crossover from its Signal Line, indicating an uptrend phase.
The immediate support level for scrip is currently placed at 81 and resistance level is seen at 101 followed by 108. We have a BUY recommendation for SAIL which is currently trading at Rs. 93.95.
MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!
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