Saturday, 13 January 2018

Top 12 high conviction stock ideas to make money in 2018


Calendar 2017 proved to be a spectacular one for the domestic equity market, with the benchmark equity indices gaining nearly 28 per cent on the back of various reform measures that the government has implemented through the year. 


The New Year is expected to be another good year as the results of various policy initiatives taken over the past two years will start to show. 

The BSE Sensex climbed 27.73 per cent to 34,010 on December 26 from 26,626 on December 30 las .. 


The upside scenario is 11,700, based on the assumption that a lot of the structural reforms initiated since 2014 will slowly start helping growth in the formal economy and would help expanding it. Earnings are likely to be on the positive trajectory starting from Q2 of FY19 after spending nearly seven years in the negative territory.


Jamna Auto | Buy | Target price: Rs 95 


Jamna Auto is the largest leaf spring manufacturer in India and the third largest globally (in terms of installed capacity). Anand Rathi Financial Services expects the company's revenues to grow at 13 per cent CAGR over the next three years owing to steep uptrend in the MHCV OEM segment and likely to draw benefits of operating leverage. 

Dabur India | Buy | Target price: Rs 400

With around 70 per cent of its product range in ayurveda, natural and herbals (ANH), Dabur is amongst largest ayurveda and natural healthcare company. Factoring in the direct competition from Patanjali and channel disruption, the brokerage house believes that Dabur can still clock a CAGR of 12 per cent in revenue and 16 per cent in earnings over FY17-20. Anand Rathi recently upgraded Dabur to 'buy' with a target price of Rs 400.

Deepak Nitrite BSE  | Buy | Target price: Rs 264 


The company is one of the leading global players for several niche chemical products used in - colorants, petrochemicals, agrochemicals, rubber, pharmaceuticals, paper and textile. "With the completion of its Phenol project, the top line for the company is expected to almost get doubled by FY-19E," Anand Rathi Financial Services said. The brokerage has a 'buy' rating on Deepak Nitrite with a target price of R 264.

Asian Granito BSE  India | Target price: Rs 642 


Robust outlook of tiles industry (led by lower per capita consumption and expected pick up in real estate sector) augurs well for Asian Granito. Religare further believes that better product mix, focus on B2C sales and higher capacity utilization would result in improved profit growth. "Revenue and PAT are likely to increase at CAGR of around 16 per cent and around 32 per cent, respectively over FY17-20E .




Nilkamal BSE  | Buy | Target price: Rs 2,097 

Net revenue and PAT are likely to grow at a healthy pace, led by demand revival and company's efforts towards brand building, according to Religare. Despite higher oil prices, margins could improve at a gradual pace, led by operating leverage. Market leadership, leverage free balance sheet and healthy cash flows would provide valuation comfort. 



Bharat Electronics | Buy | Target price: Rs 217 


The company is likely to benefit from government's increased emphasis on 'Make in India' and higher defence capex. Strong order book (over Rs 40,000 crore) and healthy order inflow (Rs 13,000 crore) provides greater revenue visibility. Increased investment in R&D will help Bharat Electronics to retain its leadership position in the defence segment. 


Larsen & Toubro | Buy | Target price: Rs 1,450 


The company continues to focus on profitable execution of the large order book, selective order picking, on-time deliveries and operational excellence through digitalisation. The management is also emphasizing on cost competitiveness, continuous optimisation of working capital, restructuring of its business portfolio and value creation with an aim to enhance its return on equity. The government's determined  .. 


Swaraj Engines | Buy | Target price: Rs 2,284 


The management of the company expects good growth for demand of domestic tractor due to government's continued thrust on agri and rural sector, which would help the company to increase market share and financial growth of the company. The central government has time and again reiterated its aim to double farm income by 2022, which has envisaged to be attained through better productivity and enhanced farm realization.Swaraj Engines is a leading supplier of engines for the tractors to market leader, i.e. M&M. The company is one of the key players to benefit from this transition. Thus, it is expected that the stock will see a price target of Rs 2,384 in an eight to 10-month time frame. 


Gati | Buy | Target price: Rs 158 


With its comprehensive integrated service portfolio, Gati is distinctively positioned to support the consequent supply chain realignment. Moreover, the company's pan-India reach has been already designed on a hub and spoke model for efficiency and speed. Over the last few years, the company has undertaken significant initiatives to fortify its stronghold to deliver consistently to customers, by developing end-to-end solution ,enhancing technology capabilities and augmenting operations quality processes. Thus, it is expected that the stock will see a price target of Rs 158 in eight to 10 months. 


Ahluwalia Contracts | Buy | Target price: Rs 473 


The strong order backlog, combined with proven execution capabilities and low-geared balance sheet would help the company to deliver healthy growth in the foreseeable future. The government's increasing focus on the construction industry is expected to generate better order flows going forward. Thus, it is expected that the company would see good growth going forward and the stock will see a price target of Rs .473 in 8 to 10 months.

Apollo Tyres | Buy | Target price: Rs 305 


Apollo Tyres (ATL) currently enjoys around 28 per cent market share in the TBR segment. As radialisation forms only 45 per cent of domestic TB tyre market, Reliance Securities sees a significant scope for radialisation in the domestic CV segment, which would benefit manufacturers like Apollo Tyres, going forward. The brokerage house expects ATL's market share in radial tyre segment to improve on the back of capacity  expansion to meet the rising demand. Further, ATL is expected to benefit immensely with the recent imposition of Anti Dumping Duty in Chinese TBR. Looking ahead, with the likely pick-up in utilisation from Hungary unit and possible improvement in price as no new capacity is coming up in the European region except for Korea-based Nexen, Reliance Securities expects ATL's European operations to witness improvement. 


Kajaria Ceramics | Buy | Target Price: Rs 851 


Kajaria Ceramics (KCL) has a market share of around 10 per cent in domestic ceramic tiles industry, including the unorganised players (unorganised segment accounts for 60 per cent of domestic tiles volume). The brokerage house believes that over the years, the company has laid strong foundation for growth by focusing on creating a strong brand, new product introduction, increasing distribution footprint and higher hare of JVs. Kajaria is well-placed to capitalise on the burgeoning opportunity in tiles industry in coming years. Kajaria Ceramics' own facility at Gailpur went on stream in September 2017 to manufacture high-value ceramic floor tiles with capacity of 3.5msm taking the total annual capacity of the unit to 30.1msm. Based on expected EPS of Rs 22.4, the stock currently trades at a reasonable PE multiple of 32.3x FY19E earnings. 


MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!





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