Friday, 16 August 2019

Fund managers bet over Rs 8.5K crore on these 6 stocks in July; do you own any?

Fund managers added large-cap private banks, utilities, energy and select FMCG names.


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The market was under pressure in July, due to renewed worries over the US-China trade war, concerns over economic slowdown and the income-tax surcharge on foreign portfolio investors.
The mutual fund (MF) industry also experienced the heat of selloff. Nevertheless, it still fared better than the pack of heavyweights in Nifty.
In July 2019, cumulative equity assets under management (AUM) stood at Rs 6,84,200 crore, down 5.46 percent while the benchmark Nifty corrected by 5.7 percent.
As per data from Edelweiss Securities, the major contribution to the inflows of equity schemes came from large cap, focused, mid cap and small cap funds to the tune of Rs 6,000 crore.
Fund managers added large-cap private banks, utilities, energy and select FMCG names, whereas exposure to NBFCs and auto was reduced.
Edelweiss Securities in its report has listed 6 stocks which received inflows worth over Rs 1,000 crore each.
Private lender Axis Bank emerged at the top among those stocks as fund managers bought in shares worth Rs 2,145 crore.
Next came ICICI Bank as fund managers bought in shares worth for Rs 1,863 crore.
GAIL was bought to the tune of Rs 1,251 crore while HDFC Bank witnessed an inflow of Rs 1,179 crore. ITCsaw inflows to the tune of Rs 1,056 crore and Larsen & Toubro was bought to the tune of Rs 1,051 crore, respectively, in July.
Other than these six stocks, Reliance Industries (Rs 952 crore), Tata Consultancy Services (Rs 743 crore), NTPC (Rs 689 crore), Titan Company (Rs 512 crore), Coal India (Rs 432 crore) and Bajaj Finance (Rs 383 crore) also witnessed decent inflows.
On the contrary, Infosys led the pack of stocks which saw offloading of positions by fund managers. Fund managers offloaded Rs 630 crore in the stock.
Shriram Transport Finance Company (Rs 489 crore), UPL ( Rs 458 crore), Mindtree (Rs 436 crore) and Indian Oil Corporation (Rs 304 crore) were among the other stocks that witnessed outflow of in July.
MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!

Our INFy Calls Hits Its Intraday Targets........Still Confused




Today We had given a call to Buy Infosys ( Fut-29 Aug ) around 772--770 for the target of  777--780

Look at the call as Today it made a high of 779.50 and now trading around 778

Patience wins the trade.......

We Booked Full Profit Today around 779

Profit of Rs 8400 on 1  Lot....... 

We Believe in our Research......

Hope You Minted Profit.

This call was given free on our blog and in Our whatsapp group.

Still Looking for trade or confused!!..............Don't Worry Join Our Team......

KEEP TRADING FOR FREE>Just Click on  link below

https://tradingcalls-indianmarketpulse.blogspot.com/ or 


 E-Mail Us at indianmarketpulse@gmail.com 

or 

Call:8303052186




MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!

Our Kotak Mahindra Bank Intraday Call Hits Its 1st Target ....Waiting for 2nd Target...Are You!!


Today We had given a Intrady call to Buy Kotak Mahindra Bank ( Fut-29 Aug ) around 4661 for the target of  1492 for the target of 1500--1510

Look at the call as Today it made a high of 1507.90 and now trading around 1506

Patience wins the trade.......

We Booked Part Profit Today around 1502

Profit of Rs 4000 on 1  Lot....... 

We Believe in our Research......

Hope You Minted Profit.

This call was given free on our blog and in Our whatsapp group.

Still Looking for trade or confused!!..............Don't Worry Join Our Team......

KEEP TRADING FOR FREE>Just Click on  link below


or

 E-Mail Us at indianmarketpulse@gmail.com

or 

Call:8303052186

MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!

Bank Nifty Call Hits Its Target ....Bulls Eye

  

Today We had given a call to Buy Bank Nifty ( Fut-29 Aug ) around 27950 for the target of  28030--28070+

Look at the call as Today it made a high of 28310 and now trading around 28240

Patience wins the trade.......

We Booked Full Profit Today around 28070+

Profit of Rs 2400 on 1  Lot....... 

We Believe in our Research......

Hope You Minted Profit.

This call was given free on our blog and in Our whatsapp group.

Still Looking for trade or confused!!..............Don't Worry Join Our Team......

KEEP TRADING FOR FREE>Just Click on  link below

https://tradingcalls-indianmarketpulse.blogspot.com/


or


 E-Mail Us at indianmarketpulse@gmail.com


or 

Call:8303052186



MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!

Our Intraday Nifty Hits Its Target.....

  

Today We had given a call to Buy Nifty ( Fut-29 Aug ) around 11000 for the target of  11060--11070

Look at the call as Today it made a high of 11072

Patience wins the trade.......

We Booked Full Profit Today around 11060

Profit of Rs 4500 on 1  Lot....... 

We Believe in our Research......

Hope You Minted Profit.

This call was given free on our blog and in Our whatsapp group.

Still Looking for trade or confused!!..............Don't Worry Join Our Team......

KEEP TRADING FOR FREE>Just Click on  link below

or

https://tradingcalls-indianmarketpulse.blogspot.com/

or 

E-Mail Us at indianmarketpulse@gmail.com 

Or

Call:8303052186



MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!

Our Axis Bank BTST Call Hits Its Target.....

  



On 14th August We had given a BTST call to  Axis Bank ( Fut-29 Aug ) around 4661 for the target of  672--675

Look at the call as Today it made a high of 674.30 and now trading around 673

Patience wins the trade.......

We Booked Full Profit Today around 672

Profit of Rs 13200 on 1  Lot....... 

We Believe in our Research......

Hope You Minted Profit.

This call was given free on our blog and in Our whatsapp group.

Still Looking for trade or confused!!..............Don't Worry Join Our Team......

KEEP TRADING FOR FREE>Just Click on  link below


or

 E-Mail Us at indianmarketpulse@gmail.com

or 

Call:8303052186

MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!


Stock picks of the day: A break below 10,850 on the Nifty could lead to further selling

Any decisive move below the 10,850 mark in the Nifty can trigger a fresh round of selling while on the higher side, while 11,100 levels should act as a key resistance area.

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After witnessing some gains last week, the Nifty failed to remain in control as it decisively closed below the 10,950 mark on August 13. The market breadth was tilted in favour of bears on the back of weak global cues.

On the derivative front, Call writers were active in 11,100 and 11,000 strikes along with Put unwinding.
The market undertone is likely to remain bearish in the coming sessions as well. We are continuously witnessing a short build-up into prices which could weigh on the markets.
On the technical front, any decisive move below 10,850 mark in the Nifty could trigger a fresh round of selling while on the higher side, 11,100 levels should act as a key resistance area.
We are hopeful that as long as we trade below 11,100 levels on the Nifty, the current trend is unlikely to change and the index is likely to move towards 10,750 levels amid high volatility.
Here is a list of the top three stocks which could give 7-12 percent return in the next three to four weeks:
Reliance Nippon Life Asset Management: Buy| Target: Rs 267| Stop Loss: Rs 225| Upside 11 percent
The stock has been constantly trading well above its short and long term moving averages on the daily as well as weekly interval charts with the formation of higher highs and higher bottom pattern.
This week, the stock has given a fresh breakout above the key resistance levels of Rs 242 along with marginally higher volumes which suggest that upside is likely to continue in the coming sessions.
Traders can accumulate the stock in the range of 240-245 for the upside target of 267 levels, and a stop loss below Rs 225.

Bharat Electronics: Sell| Target: Rs 86| Stop Loss: Rs 98| Downside 8 percent
The stock has been consistently trading well below its long and short-term moving averages on the daily as well as weekly interval charts.
However, after testing Rs 97 levels on the higher side, the stock once again fell back towards Rs 92 levels in the August 13th session and gave a breakdown below the rising wedge pattern which is generally traded as a bearish pattern in the downtrends.
The negative divergences on the secondary oscillators also point towards more downside in the coming sessions.  Traders can sell the stock in the range of Rs 93-94 levels for the downside target of Rs 86, and a stop loss above Rs 98.
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone: Sell| Target: Rs 339| Stop Loss: Rs 380| Downside 7 percent
In the recent past, the stock has given a breakdown below its 200-DEMA on the daily interval charts which was placed at Rs 385 levels. The stock entered into a bearish territory on the short-term charts.
In the August 13th session, the stock witnessed a fresh breakdown below the key support level after prolonged consolidation.
On the derivative front as well, the stock seems to have added short build up into the prices which suggest more downside in the upcoming sessions.
Traders can sell the stock in the range of 362-365 levels for the downside target of 339 levels, and a stop loss above Rs 380.
 MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!

Stock picks of the day: Close above 11,150 crucial for upside in Nifty to continue

For the rally to sustain, the index needs to close above 11,150-11,181 on a sustainable basis for any bounce back towards 11,350 levels.

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The holiday truncated week got off to a bad start on August 12, amid weak global cues and domestic slowdown worries. However, we saw some respite on August 14 as the Sensex rallied more than 350 points. Nifty too closed above the psychological 11,000 mark.
Earlier this week, the Nifty reversed from its 200-days moving average, which stands at 11,667 levels, and falling resistance trend line connecting the highs of 11,982 and 11,707, reaffirming the downtrend.
For the rally to sustain, the index needs to close above 11,150-11,181 on a sustainable basis for any bounce back towards 11,350 levels.
On the downside, the market has critical support placed at 10,782, which is the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement of the entire rise from 10,005 to 12,103.
If the index breaks below 10,782, a further decline can be seen towards 10,580 levels. In Nifty options, maximum Put open interest is seen at the 11,000 strike, followed by 10,700. Maximum call open interest is seen at 11,000, followed by 11,500.
Here is a list of top five stocks that could return 8-11 percent in the next one-to-three months:

HDFC AMC: Buy| LTP: 2,200| Stop Loss: Rs 2,130| Target: Rs 2,450| Upside 11%
The stock is in an uptrend forming high tops and higher bottoms since its February low of Rs 1,329 on the daily chart. The up moves seen in the stock have been backed by good volumes and declines on below-average volumes indicating buying participation in the stock.
It recently touched an all-time high of Rs 2,370 and then corrected towards Rs 2,045 levels. MACD line has given a positive crossover.
Thus, the stock can be bought at current levels and on dips towards Rs 2,195 with a stop loss below Rs 2,130 and a target of Rs 2,450 levels.
Pidilite Industries: Buy| LTP: Rs 1346| Stop Loss: Rs 1300|Target: Rs 1,500| Upside 11%
The stock is in an uptrend forming higher tops and higher bottoms on the weekly chart. The stock hit a high of Rs 1313 in April and then consolidated in the range of Rs 1,313 and Rs 1,100 odd levels to form ascending triangle pattern.
Last week, the stock witnessed a breakout from the consolidation zone on strong momentum and high volumes indicating buying participation.
The price has given a breakout on the upside from the Bollinger Band with the expansion of bands indicating a continuation of the trend in the direction of breakout on the weekly chart.
The Average Directional Index (ADX) line, an indicator of trend strength has moved above the equilibrium level of 20 with rising Plus Directional line on the daily chart.
MACD line has given a positive crossover with its average above the neutral level of zero on the weekly chart. Thus, stock can be bought at current levels and on dips towards Rs 1,325 with a stop loss below Rs 1,300 and a target of Rs 1,500 levels.
Avenue Supermarts: Buy| LTP: Rs 1,490| Stop Loss: Rs 1,405| Target: Rs 1,610| Upside 8%
The stock has been moving higher since March along the rising support trend line connecting closing price of Rs 1,234 and Rs 1397.
The stock has seen a bounce back from the trend line support with long body bullish candle and good volumes.
It has formed a base after consolidating between Rs 1530 and Rs 1230 odd levels. Also looking at higher time frame weekly chart, it looks like that the stock is in a process of forming a double bottom pattern with lows at Rs 1230 odd levels.
Stochastic has given positive crossover with its average on the daily chart. Thus, the stock can be bought at current levels and on dips towards Rs 1,440 with a stop loss below Rs 1,405 and a target of Rs 1,610 levels.
MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!

Wednesday, 14 August 2019

Bad times are a good time to invest! Many stocks to turn multibaggers in next 3-4 years

I think the resolution of the trade war is critical to the global economy. Else, there will be an imminent threat of global recession.

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Investors will have to be extremely careful about what they are investing in. Some of the stocks that have fallen will surely become multibaggers in three to four year but that doesn’t hold true for every stock that has fallen.

The Indian market is going through a challenging phase, ranging from higher tax impact on foreign institutional investors, slowing economy, weak monsoon, not-so-exciting earnings season and implication of the US-China trade war. However, in the last 24-48 hours, the finance ministry’s consideration of rolling back some of the budgetary proposals has lifted the spirit. The market participants are eagerly waiting for the eventual announcements from the finance ministry.

It shows that bad times are a good time to invest. Investors will have to be extremely careful while investing in what they are investing. Some of the stocks which have fallen will surely become multibaggers in three-four years but that can't be said about every stock that has fallen.

The US-China trade war has been lingering on beyond everybody's expectations. By now, the trade war should have had an outcome. As the trade war didn't lead to a desired outcome, China had no other option but to depreciate its currency yuan to make its exports competitive. It's a tit-for-tat-for-tit-for-tat kind of situation between the US and China. I think the resolution of the trade war is critical to the global economy, else there will be an imminent threat of global recession.
There are enough data-points in terms of trade volumes suggesting that the global economy is going through a slowdown. The global economy is not in recession at the moment but if the trade war doesn't get resolved soon, the global economy will surely be staring at a recession. As US presidential elections are in November 2020, (Donald) Trump can be expected to remain aggressive through his tweets.
The RBI MPC (monetary policy committee) has cut the repo rate by 35 basis points (bps), taking the repo rate to a nine-year low and the total rate cut in the last one year to 110 bps. Despite the rate cut, the challenge has always been that banks are not transmitting the rate cuts to the borrowers. Hence, the desired outcome of economic revival is not taking place despite RBI's rate cuts.
Out of the RBI's 75 bps cut done prior to recent meeting, only 29 bps has been transmitted to the borrowers by banks, according to RBI governor Shaktikanta Das. Because of lack of transmission, the economic activity is not getting stimulated. Till the time the transmission aspect is not addressed clearly and emphatically, the economy won’t witness a revival.
Corporate earnings have been a major worry for the past five years. The current quarter is presenting some interesting developments. The BFSI (banking and financial services) stocks have been doing well. Over the previous two-three years, banks have been aggressively into balance-sheet cleaning that is why profit scores of most of the banks were low during that time-frame.
In this quarter, as a result of that initiative, banks have shown strong growth in profitability due to low-base effect. But except the banking sector, the stocks in the other sectors have been languishing, reflected in their weak top-lines, volumes, revenues, profit margins, etc reflecting the impact of a slowing economy.
The repercussion of IL&FS default in August 2018 has led to defaults by many other corporates across sectors because the financial eco-system is inter-related. As a result, banks’ asset quality worries have increased, triggering the worry that the Indian banking system may have to deal with a new NPA (non-performing assets) cycle. Banks have painstakingly cleaned up their balance sheets over the last two-three years to address all the previous NPA issues. Fortunately, that clean-up act by banks has started yielding results.
MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!

Gold prices at record high; will the rally last?

Central banks have bought net 224.4 tonnes of Gold in April-June quarter of 2019, and a total of 374 tonnes is H12019, the highest purchase in the first half of any year in 19 years according to World Gold Council data.

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The price of Gold at MCX recently touched its record high of Rs 37,270, rallying about 18 percent year-to-date.
Globally, too, Gold prices have surged significantly. Gold is currently near a 5 year high and trades at $1,496.95 per ounce. It has rallied 16.7 percent YTD, however, Gold continues to trade well below its lifetime high of $1,900.
There are a number of reasons for the rally in Gold. The yellow metal is viewed as a safe haven and recent market turmoil has resulted in global investors preferring safe haven buying.
Recent developments in the global economy are behind this trend. Firstly, the escalation of the trade war between US and China has created significant uncertainty for the global economy as well as for financial markets. US Q2 GDP release revealed that business investment contracted for the first time in three years, which illustrates the rise in the uncertainty of economic prospects. This favours buying of safe haven assets like Gold.
Last year, the US Federal Reserve had hiked rates four times. Due to the rise in uncertainty as well as weakening prospects for the global economy, the US Federal Reserve has shifted policy and cut rates recently. Market participants expect further rate cuts. A weak monetary policy in the US again favours safe haven assets like Gold and US Treasuries.
The rally in Gold has been supported by central banks. Central banks have bought net 224.4 tonnes of Gold in April-June quarter of 2019, and a total of 374 tonnes is H1 2019. This is the biggest purchase in the first half of any year in 19 years, according to World Gold Council data.
The demand for Gold ETF has also increased; demand in Q2 of 2019 was 67.2 tonnes, approximately double compared to the same period last year. This shows a significant increase in investor demand.
Additionally, there are few reasons local to India which have supported prices. One of the major ones is the depreciation in rupee, driven by FII outflows, as well as an accommodative monetary policy. The monetary system is well supported by ample liquidity which on the margin can lead to a weaker rupee.
The lack of rally in oil is thus puzzling, but there are a few reasons at play why oil prices have been weak. China has continued to buy oil from Iran, which is keeping markets well supplied, this when IEA has cut demand growth forecasts for 2019 as well as 2020.
I believe that there is further upside for Gold prices. It is reasonable to expect that the US will continue with an accommodative monetary policy. The US yield curve has flattened (measured by US 10 year- US 2 year yield) which is not good for growth and the central bank would like to steepen the yield curve. This has led to increased expectations of a rate cut, as well as a round of Quantitative Easing.
In addition to the US, other major central banks around the world are easing policy, the European Central banks and Bank of Japan are expected to ease policy, and the PBoC is already pursuing a loose monetary policy.
This may push the US Federal Reserve to ease policy more than one would expect, for one they would not like the US Dollar to appreciate beyond a certain point.
The Chinese currency has depreciated recently, largely driven by a weak Chinese economy and the desire of the Chinese policymakers to neutralise the impact of tariffs.
The US President has expressed his desire for a weak US Dollar and this is another factor that can drive US interest rates lower.
The ongoing trade wars are unlikely to be resolved soon, and this helps drive Gold prices higher in a couple of ways. Firstly, it has the potential to push the world into a recession if trade wars were to escalate, and at best cause growth prospects to weaken. The uncertain outlook helps drive Gold prices higher. Secondly, trade wars can help ensure that monetary policy stays accommodative.
Also, the rupee may depreciate, which can further support Gold prices in the local market. The Indian currency is currently 7.6 percent overvalued, according to the BIS Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER), which is a reason behind the loss of competitiveness of Indian exports. This should correct and the rupee should depreciate, though I would expect the RBI to smoothen the rate of depreciation.
Secondly, the trade wars and deprecation of the Chinese currency is likely to result in depreciation of emerging market currencies, along with the INR. In the short term, FIIs’are likely to remain shy of investing in emerging markets, including India, which should support a weaker FX regime. This can further boost Gold prices in the local market.
There are a few risks though because of a weaker economy. Physical demand for Gold, especially in the festive season may not materialise, and a weaker crude oil price regime is supportive of the Rupee. These may dampen the rally in Gold, but I believe that Gold prices are likely to rise and should be a good investment.
MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!

Sensex rallies 400 pts, Nifty back above 11K; 5 factors driving markets

Another reason for today's rally could be a short covering in most beaten down stocks. In previous session, 77 stocks among F&O segment saw a short build-up and 76 stocks saw long unwinding.

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Bulls were back in action on August 14 driving the Sensex higher by more than 400 points and taking the Nifty above psychological 11,000 level, after a day of selling.
The buying was seen across sectors except for Pharma that fell more than 2 percent after Sun Pharma and Glenmark's June quarter earnings.
Most beaten down sectors like bank, auto, FMCG and metal gained more than a percent each.
The broader markets also participated in bounce back, but the gains were limited compared to benchmarks. Nifty Midcap index was up half a percent and Smallcap index gained 0.4 percent.
Sensex was up 430.93 points or 1.17 percent to 37,389.09 and the Nifty rose 126.60 points or 1.16 percent to 11,052.50 at the time of publishing this article.
Here are five key factors that drove benchmark indices higher:
US delays tariffs
Global stocks rebounded after the US announced a delay in the implementation of tariffs on some Chinese goods.
On August 13, the United States Trade Representative announced certain products including clothing and cellphones were removed from the tariff list based on “health, safety, national security and other factors”. Other tariffs will be delayed to December 15 from September 1 for certain goods, it said.
Another reason for delaying tariff is that it could impact US holiday sales.
The report also suggested that trade discussions between the US and China are likely to resume again.
Inflation data opens room for more rate cut
India's retail inflation rate in July eased marginally to 3.15 percent, remaining comfortably within Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) target level of 4 percent.
Despite the decline in overall CPI, the core CPI increased to 4.28 percent in July, from the revised number of 4.14 percent in June due to a rise in gold prices. SBI believes this is a temporary phenomenon and core inflation will ease going forward and converge towards headline CPI.
The inflation data indicated that there could be more rate cuts in October policy meet, experts feel.
The RBI has already cut the repo rate by 35 bps to 5.40 percent in its third meet this fiscal. We believe that RBI may not pause the rate cut cycle as of now, but the magnitude of rate cuts would depend on the GDP numbers.
Rupee recovers
The Indian rupee rebounded from the six-month low and appreciated 55 paise to 70.85 against the US dollar intraday amid positive trend in equity market after US delayed tariffs on some Chinese goods, easing crude oil prices and encouraging macro data.
On August 13, the rupee had plunged 62 paise to close at a nearly six-month low of 71.40 against the US dollar in line with battered equities as global market turmoil and Argentine currency crash drove investors to safe havens.
At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee traded at 71.07 a dollar, up 32 paise from the previous closing.
Easing CSR rule and likely relief to foreign investors
The easing of new Corporate Social Responsibility rule also lifted market sentiment today.
The government will not operationalise the new corporate social responsibility provisions in the recently amended Companies Act that make violations punishable by jail, following intense lobbying by a panicked India Inc., as per a report by The Economic Times.
This comes after recommendations of making expenditure on CSR tax-deductible as well as treating non-compliance with CSR requirements a civil offence under the companies law.
Under the Companies Act, 2013, certain classes of profitable entities are required to spend at least two percent of their three-year annual average net profit towards Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) in a particular financial year.
In addition, a media report also indicated that there could some relief from the surcharge on super-rich in coming days.
The finance ministry may soon consult the law ministry on how best to provide relief to foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) from the super-rich surcharge that was announced in the budget.
Technical view
Nifty managed to hold crucial 10,782 level and also rebounded sharply above psychological 11,000 mark, indicating the bounceback rally after a 184 points loss seen in the previous session.
Another reason for today's rally could be short covering in most beaten-down stocks. In previous session, 77 stocks among F&O segment saw a short build-up and 76 stocks saw long unwinding.
For time being upsides shall remain capped around 11,182 and unless Nifty closes above 11,146, strength should not be expected.
On the downside, 10,782 remains critical as a breach of this support shall drag down the indices into the crucial support zone of 10,576–10,512 on long term charts.
MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!