Tuesday, 14 November 2017

Nifty & Market Update/Performance/S&P 500,NASDAQ 100 Analysis

PERFORMANCE:


Today we suggested to buy Voltas (Future &Option) among high volatility session of  children day and able to  mint profit. We suggested to buy Voltas(FUT) around 580 for target of 600--625+.Our 1st target was tested within a session as voltas made high of 601.50 before closing at 600.80. Our called proved fruitful and we were able to mint profit of Rs 20800 on 1 Lot or return of 3.60% in single session.We also  suggested to buy Voltas 590 CE  around 12--10 for target of 25--30+.Our 1st target was tested within a session as it made high of 24.15. before closing at23.05. Our called proved fruitful and we were able to mint profit of Rs 13000 on 1 Lot or return of 8.33% in single session.Our Voltas 600 CE call to buy around 8 for target of 20 is also doing well as our target missed by two points will be tested in the next session for sure.

HOPE YOU ALL MINTED MONEY

OUR call given in previous blogs remain intact.We will make money on them as we have the formula of success i.e.........."PATIENCE"


Let us see how our godfather indexes have faired so far and analyze them closely.

S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 Forecast

S&P 500

The S&P 500 fell during the trading session on Monday, breaking below the 2575 level early in the day. However, we turned around to form a hammer and it suggests that we are going to continue to try to reach the 2600 level, if not break above it. This is a very bullish looking market, but I believe that short-term buying is about all you can do as we are getting to be a bit overdone. Once we finally break above the 2600 level, momentum should pick up again. So, I think short-term traders will continue to jump into this market and pick up little dips, but at this point it is probably more or less just algorithmic trading and scalping that we will be seen. I have no interest in shorting regardless, as it’s obviously a fool’s errand to try to do so.
   

NASDAQ 100

The NASDAQ 100 initially fell during the trading session as well, but turned around to bounce above the 6300 level. By forming a hammer, it looks very likely to continue to the upside. I am a bit leery about these high valuations, but quite frankly the market isn’t showing much in the way of proclivity to the downside. I think we will eventually break out to the upside, but you need to look for pullbacks to find value, we could get a sudden breakdown after all. The NASDAQ 100 does tend to be very volatile, but at the end of the day it does tend to lead the rest of the United States, at least it has this past year. I don’t have any interest in shorting, so I look at every pullback as a potential buying opportunity.

  

   

MARKET UPDATE:


Sensex below 33K, Nifty at lowest closing level since Oct 23; bond yields drag PSU banks



Benchmark indices extended losses for the second consecutive day Tuesday, with the Sensex closing below 33,000-mark on weak Asian cues and unlikely rate cut post increase in inflation.L&T, HDFC twins, Infosys, ITC pushed the market lower; but Reliance Industries (up 1.3 percent) and auto stocks capped losses.The 30-share BSE Sensex was down 91.69 points at 32,941.87 and the 50-share NSE Nifty fell 38.40 points to 10,186.60, the lowest level since October 23, amid volatility.Volatility emerged as hopes of a near term rate cut by RBI has faded given the spike in October CPI inflation to 3.58 percent. Global cues were not helping either amid uncertainty over US tax reform, slowdown in Chinese factory output and growing political issues in UK.The broader markets also traded in line with benchmarks, with the Nifty Midcap falling 0.2 percent. About 1,034 shares declined against 699 advancing shares on the NSE.Global cues were subdued amid uncertainty over US tax reform, slow down in Chinese factory output and growing political issues in UK. China's Shanghai Composite declined 0.5 percent and Australia's ASX 200 was down 0.88 percent.Meanwhile, wholesale-based inflation grew to 3.59 percent, hitting a six-month high in October, due to increase in prices of food and fuel products. It was at 2.6 percent in September and 1.27 percent in last October.Bharti Infratel slipped 4.5 percent as Bharti Airtel sold Rs 3,325 crore worth of shares through block deals in opening trade today.L&T lost 2.5 percent on top of 2 percent loss in previous session as the management on Saturday said it would not meet its full year order inflow growth guidance of 12-14 percent.PSU banks were down as 10-year bond yield hit 7.06 percent, the highest level since September 2016. State Bank of India declined 0.6 percent while Canara Bank and PNB were down 1.7 percent each.Eicher Motors declined 1.6 percent as Q2 earnings missed expectations.Ahead of earnings after market hours, Sun Pharma was down 1.2 percent and Bank of Baroda was up 1.5 percent. The bank's Q2 profit missed analyst estimates, falling 36 percent YoY but asset quality improved QoQ; while the pharma major's profit declined 59 percent YoY.HUL and Havells gained nearly half a percent as Credit Suisse upgraded both to outperform from neutral owing to GST rate revisions.Index heavyweights HDFC, HDFC Bank and ITC were down over half a percent whereas Axis Bank, Hero MotoCorp, M&M and Bajaj Auto gained 1-2 percent.Dhanlaxmi Bank, Karur Vysya Bank and PTC India Financial and NCC were down 3-7 percent post weak earnings.Asian Paints was down 1.7 percent and Kansai Nerolac down 2 percent after disappointing numbers from Shalimar Paints that fell 10 percent.Khadim India closed 8 percent lower at Rs 688.50 per share on first day.


MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!

Positional Calls--/Future and Option Calls/14th November 2017


 HAPPY CHILDREN DAY TO ALL 


VOLTAS  LIMITED

  

  

Voltas is looking superb in charts and trading near its 52-week high territory and seems to be sustaining the bull run .If  immediate support of 575--570 is not negatively breached and consecutive closes above 580 levels then we may see voltas making new highs.RSI of  68.92 also suggest that stock may enter into overbought zone as buyers may start entering stock as market trend improves along with increasing volumes in stock.MACD with a divergence of +3.06 also indicate that we may see sharp upside move if trend remains intact along with support with the market.

Buy Voltas(Future) Around 580 Target 600--625+ Stop Loss 565 Lot Size 1000

OR

Buy Voltas 590 CE 30 NOV 2017 (Option) Around 12--10 Target 25--30+ Stop Loss 5

OR

Buy Buy Voltas 600 CE 30 NOV 2017 (Option) Around 8 Target 20+  Stop Loss 2



WOCKHARDT  LTD








Wockhardt is looking superb in charts for a long term position.It seems to be forming a rounding bottom pattern or may form a cup and handle pattern on yearly charts indicating a positive momentum ahead.If immediate Resistance of 750 is positively breached and sustained and consecutive closes above 750 will make a case for a bull run and stock may test its upper resistance levels of 780--830.RSI of 67.95 also suggest that stock may soon enter overbought territory and with improving market and rising volumes in stock we may see upside levels.MACD with a positive divergence of 6.29 also suggest that a positive trend is ahead in the stock and we may see stock entering new 52--week high zones of 800 plus.

Buy Wockhardt (Future) Around 730 Target 780--800+ Stop Loss 705 Lot Size 800

OR

Buy Wockhardt  740 CE 30 NOV 2017 (Option) Around 22 Target 40+ Stop Loss 10

OR
Buy Wockhardt 760 CE 30 NOV 2017 (Option) Around 16 Target 30--40+ Stop Loss 4




BUY ON DIP SHOULD BE STRATEGY WHILE MAKING POSITION

"PATIENCE IS KEY TO SUCCESS"



MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!

Monday, 13 November 2017

Nifty-50 Update/Future&Option Call /11 November 2017


       NIFTY-50  UPDATE AND TREND


   



Nifty seems to be in consolidation trend and has shredded enough for the past five session in the name of consolidation and seems to be holding its crucial support levels of (10300--10250).If immediate  crucial support of 10250 is not breached negatively and consecutive closes above this level will make a case of upside move and this level seems to be sustaining.
Overall trend is sideways and profit booking may not intensify as market seems to have corrected from the previous high of 10490--10390 and may see some sharp short covering as we move ahead this week.Immediate Support Zone are in range of (10280--10250) and 
downside Support  levels around (10180--10140).Its Immediate Resistance Zone are in the (10360--10390) range whereas upper Resistance level is around 10440--10500.One may Buy Nifty 50 (Future) around 10250 for targets of 10360 plus with  Stop Loss of  10220.


  FUTURE & OPTION CALLS

CESC is looking superb in chart and seems to entering a bullish trend .Consecutive closes above (1040--1030) and if sustained will make a case for upside move. MACD of Positive divergence of 0.88 also suggest that we may see more upside with the coming crossover.One may  buy CESC(Future) around 1035--1030 for targets of 1060--1080 plus  with a strict Stop loss 1020 .One may also look at potential calls in option segment like to buy CESC 1040 CE 30 NOV-17 (Option) with premium around 35--30 for potential targets of  60 plus with  Stop Loss of 25.Its  lot Size is 550.

PVR is looking superb in charts .If immediate crucial resistance of 1450 is positively breached and sustained then we may see more upside .One may buy PVR(Future) around 1435--1430 target of 1450--1500 with a strict Stop Loss of 1415 .One may also go for CESC option and enter a call to buy PVR 1440 CE 30 NOV(Option) around 40--35 for target 65+ with  Stop Loss 28 .Its Lot Size is 400


More Will Update Soon!!

Friday, 10 November 2017

Investment Call/Positional Cash Call


WATERBASE  LTD

Hello everyone.Lets talk about a stock which I have invested 500 shares around 87 and now trading around 147.From consumer food sector the stock is name is Waterbase Ltd.I am Holding for 200+ Targets.Let us talk about its immediate fundamentals.Company has market Cap of Rs 540.45 crore and  EPS of  4.42.Its  Book Value/Share is 32 and has  Face Value of 10.It has a  Dividend Yield of 0.71.Stock (P/E) is 33.35 is as compared to Industry(P/E):55.03 and has Qualified Foreign Investors of around 1.57% in the company.

Talking about the technicals of  the stock currently it has Relative strength index of 63.17 and increasing indicate that stock is going towards an overbought zone and may remain in it as volumes have started coming in the stock. MACD (26 Days,12 Days) of 3.73 with a positive crossover with EMA (9 Days) of 3.21 resulting in a positive divergence of 0.52 indicate that an upward trend is surely to persist for short term as market improves.Stock is moving in rising channel wedge candlestick pattern and breakout if sustained will take stock towards 176--200+ levels.On Ichimoku cloud stock is looking highly bullish and on careful analysis stock has positively breached 9 day ichimoku conversion base line of 141.50 and seems to be sustaining it therefore indicating an bullish trend ahead.

Stock has multibagger potential in long term as yearly net profit may soon see double digit rise as company is expected to post outstanding FY 18-03 annual result.(See latest Quarterly results-FY 2017-06 result).If  resistance of (175--170) is positively breached and sustained and consecutive closes around (175--170) levels and if not breached negatively then we may see stock testing 200+ within two to three months time.

About The company:The Waterbase Ltd., established in 1993, is a leading manufacturer and exporter of prawn feed, shrimp, and crab & fish processing machinery. Waterbase is promoted by the ‘Karam Chand Thapar (KCT) Group’, a highly diversified portfolio of businesses with interests in sectors ranging from coal, infrastructure, real estate, manufacturing to renewable energy. Founded in 1929 by the late Karam Chand Thapar, the KCT Group has consistently striven to provide the highest level of service to international and domestic clients and Waterbase is committed to not only continuing that legacy, but building on it. Waterbase exports shrimps in different forms to quality conscious markets of Japan, USA and Europe  IQF, Block Frozen and Cooked. The company’s processing plant is FDA listed, EU approved and processing is as per HACCP guidelines. It is the Waterbase’s mission to provide the highest level of customer service and satisfaction by promoting sustainable aqua-culture development in conjunction with long-term eco-friendly practices. Today, shrimp farming continues to expand in India. With rapidly increasing demands many companies now have expanded to other coastal states like Orissa and West Bengal on the east coast and Gujarat on the west coast and in the south to Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu..





   

Buy Zone:145--130    Strategy--(Buy on DIP)

Crucial Resistance Zone: 175--170

Immediate Resistance: 155

First Support zones :135--130

Second Support zones:115

Targets 175--200+



More will update soon!!







Indian Market Pulse

Indian Market Pulse

My Name is Arun Singh and i have started this blog keeping in mind that viewers needs to be updates about the stock market  and since money is involved in trading viewers needs to be updated on real time basis about the changing financial and economic environment around the world.My aim is to provide technical analysis i.e chart analysis of major world Index like S&P 500 ,Dow Jones 30 and Nasdaq 100 on daily basis along with relevant updates as US major indexes are really the one which decides the world or global market trend being the economic super power the country.Along with this i will also be updating about the Indian market and its major Indexes like Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty since i belong to India.My aim will be to provide technical and fundamental analysis of the above mentioned indexes on timely basis.I would also be providing investment tips to all our viewers based on sound and quality research on weekly basis so that our viewers do not have to go for paid services to have the same research.

very warm greeting to all our viewers.Very soon we will be coming up with a blog to cater to the needs of passionate people who are in trading and wants to earn money through investment ideas and market research  across all segment of equities (Cash, Future & Option )segment.

I am a Former Senior Technical & Derivative Research Analyst with experience of more than 3 years ,having worked in capital market research firm namely IndiaMarketView.I Am a CRISIL Approved Certified Financial Research Analyst and also a legally certified Research Analyst as per the SEBI (Security & Exchange Board of India) and completed all the relevant certifications as per directive of SEBI and fully capable to do the above mentioned research.
I also have a MBA degree in Marketing and Finance as major from Amity University Rajasthan. For any market related query viewers may feel free to contact me and ask any  and i will be most highly obliged to solve it .I will give my best to reply you with the appropriate answer.

I also have a mechanical & Automation degree from Amity Institute of Engineering and technology
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